Summary: A stock can be viewed as a collection of dividend strips, each representing a claim to a single dividend. I study how individual dividends are priced across the cross-section of U.S. stocks. I construct and estimate the prices of synthetic dividend strips with 1-year and 2-year maturities using equity options. I document that cross-sectional variations in short-term dividend prices are substantial and driven predominantly by differences in discount rates. Short-term dividend strips with lower price-dividend ratios deliver higher average returns than those with higher price-dividend ratios. Moreover, the cross-sectional variations in maturity-specific discount rates appear to decline with maturity, at least at the short end. Finally, I interpret these cross-sectional variations in discount rates using asset pricing theory. I evaluate three leading cross-sectional asset pricing models and find that the model by Kogan and Papanikolaou (2013) aligns most closely with my findings.
Presented at: INSEAD (2024), The 13th Wharton-INSEAD Doctoral Consortium (2024), NYU Shanghai (2025), University of Minnesota Twin Cities (2025), University of Texas at Dallas (2025), University of Toronto (2025), University of Hong Kong (2025), City University of Hong Kong (2025), Chinese University of Hong Kong (2025), McGill University (2025)
Summary: We recover a pricing kernel from aggregate investment by exploiting the investment Euler equation which relates the investment policy to the discount rate and expected profitability. We impose parametric structures to disentangle information of the pricing kernel from that of cash flows. The recovered pricing kernel is highly counter-cyclical and is able to price standard Fama-French portfolios reasonably well. This framework is highly flexible for further extensions.
Presented at [*by my co-author]: INSEAD (2021, 2022), The 11th Wharton-INSEAD Doctoral Consortium (2022), CICF (2023), EFA Annual Meeting (2023)*, ESSEC Business School (2023)*, IESE Business School (2023)*, ESCP Business School (2023)*, Warwick Business School (2023)*, AFA Annual Meeting (2024), EDHEC Business School (2024)*, The 4th Corporate Policies and Asset Prices Conference (2024), Tsinghua University PBCSF (2024)*
Summary: Marginal Q is no longer the summary statistic for investment when the marginal cost curve is subject to shocks. The movement of Q and investment crucially depends on the investment elasticity of supply, which is largely dependent on the persistence of the adjustment cost shock. The more persistent the adjustment cost shock is, the less correlated investment and Q are. In essence, marginal Q is to investment as price is to quantity in any demand-supply system.
Presented at [*by my co-author]: INSEAD (2023)*, USI-SFI PhD Summer School (2023)*, The 12th Wharton-INSEAD Doctoral Consortium (2023), SFS Cavalcade North America (2024), The 7th Dauphine Finance PhD Workshop (2024), The 24th Macro Finance Society Workshop Poster Session (2024), AFA PhD Student Poster Session (2025 accepted)
Summary: The green premium varies substantially over time and is correlated with the regime of monetary policy in low frequency. The green premium is high (low) during periods of expansionary (contractionary) monetary policy. Using a high-frequency identification strategy, I establish that the conduct of monetary policy has differential causal impacts on stock returns of green and brown firms in high frequency.
Presented at: INSEAD (2024), CES China Annual Conference (2024). Featured by: SSRN
Summary: The nominal interest rate has a moderating effect on the investment-Q relation. I construct a novel measure "demonetized Q" by collecting residuals from the projection of average Q onto the nominal interest rate. The demonetized Q has much higher explanatory power for aggregate investment than average Q. The demonetized Q is also a superior predictor of market returns.
Presented at: AFA PhD Student Poster Session (2025 accepted)